Tropical Storm Florence Heading Westward Strengthening Forecast

Florence expected to regroup hurricane centers sees ‘increased’ threat to East

There are dozens of different models and versions of forecast tracks that meteorologists have among their forecasting tools, and a majority still show the center of Florence staying offshore - but most track it close enough to cause some impact next week.

Florence found a bubble of very favorable upper winds and exploded into a Category 4 hurricane yesterday. At least two of those storms have the hurricane center and emergency management officials along the U.S. East Coast warning residents to put their hurricane preparations into gear, if they haven't already.

Odds have increased that this storm may have a hard time finding an escape route to the north as it draws closer to the East Coast, although a direct hit is not inevitable.

The National Hurricane Centre (NHC) in Miami said Florence's weakening appeared to have stopped for the moment, but restrengthening is forecast over the weekend.

As of Wednesday, the hurricane had maximum sustained winds of 125 miles per hour, making it a Category 3 storm. While there are still a few model solutions that try to take Florence back out to sea, most long-term solutions see the westward track holding steady. Earlier this week, Florence became the first major hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic season. It was moving toward the west-northwest.

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Now the storm sits several hundred miles east-south east of Bermuda, but is traveling on a west north-westerly course, which puts Bermuda in its direct path. Current information would lead to Florence generating impacts on the east coast sometime late next week or weekend.

"Swells generated by Florence will begin to affect Bermuda on Friday and will reach portions of the US East Coast over the weekend". At this point, its exact landfall location is very hard to determine as Florence will eventually make a NW and then north turn.

Meanwhile, two other systems - one 650 miles west of the Cabo (Cape) Verde Islands and the other coming off the west coast of Africa have 90 per cent chances of cyclone formation in the next 48 hours, according to the NHC.

Forecasters at the Canadian Hurricane Centre are closely monitoring a storm churning out in the Atlantic.

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